Trump Legal & Impeachment Status

Currently, several legal cases involving Donald Trump have concluded or been paused following his re-election. The New York hush money case resulted in a conviction but an unconditional discharge. Federal cases regarding classified documents and election interference were dropped. The Georgia election interference case has been pushed back until after his presidency.

Yes, Donald Trump has been impeached twice by the House of Representatives during his presidency. The first impeachment was in December 2019 over the Ukraine scandal, and the second was in January 2021 following the January 6th Capitol riot. In both instances, he was acquitted by the Senate.

While Donald Trump has faced numerous legal challenges, including a felony conviction in New York, he received an unconditional discharge for that case after his re-election in November 2024, meaning no jail time. Federal cases were dropped, and the Georgia case is postponed. However, some political commentators, like Steve Bannon, have speculated about potential future incarceration if a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028. The Metaculus community predicts a 1% chance of incarceration by 2030, indicating a low probability.

Presidential impeachment begins in the House of Representatives, which can pass "articles of impeachment" by a simple majority vote. If the House impeaches, the process moves to the Senate, where a trial is held. A two-thirds majority vote in the Senate is required for conviction and removal from office. The President pro tempore of the Senate presides over the trial if the President has left office, otherwise it is the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.